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Weather Forecast Highlights

Heat Wave

  • Focus: Southeast, Mid-South, central/southern Plains.
  • Temperatures: Highs in the upper 90s, low 100s in central Plains.
  • Heat Index: Up to 110 due to humidity.
  • Advisories: Widespread Heat Advisories.
  • Nighttime Lows: Mid- to upper 70s, minimal overnight relief.
  • Impact: Higher heat-related stress, especially outdoors or without air conditioning.

Severe Storms and Flash Flooding

  • Upper Midwest (Monday):
    • System: Upper-level shortwave and surface frontal system.
    • Conditions: High moisture, strong to extreme instability.
    • Risks: Very large hail, significant damaging winds, possible tornadoes.
    • Flooding: Heavy downpours, isolated flash flooding risk.
  • Midwest/Great Lakes (Tuesday):
    • System: Cold front moving southeast.
    • Storms: Repeating storms over same areas.
    • Risks: Greater flash flooding risk, large hail, damaging winds.
    • Outlook: Slight Risk of Excessive Rainfall (level 2/4).

Monsoon-like Conditions in Southwest/Four Corners Region

  • Conditions: Daily showers and thunderstorms.
  • Risks: Locally intense downpours, isolated flash flooding.
  • High Risk Areas: Southeast Arizona, especially urban areas around Tucson.
  • Temperatures:
    • Four Corners: 80s and 90s.
    • Southwest: 100s to 110, heat-related advisories and warnings.
    • Elsewhere in West:
      • Pacific Coast: 60s and 70s.
      • Pacific Northwest: 70s and 80s.
      • Great Basin: Low to mid-90s.
      • Interior Central California: Low to mid-100s.
      • Western Mojave/Sonoran Deserts: 110s.

Northeast U.S.

  • Conditions: Showers and storms with a surface low and cold front.
  • Impact: Storms tapering off by Monday evening.
  • Temperatures:
    • Mid-Atlantic: 70s and 80s, relief from heat.
    • Return to Average: Tuesday highs in the upper 80s to low 90s.

Southeast U.S.

  • Storms: Possible ahead of a cold front.
  • Florida: Diurnal sea breeze-related storms Monday and Tuesday.

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