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This weather forecast describes a dynamic weather pattern across the United States over the next couple of days:

  1. Severe Weather Threat and Flash Flooding (Monday):
    • Showers and thunderstorms are expected from the Southern Plains to the Middle Mississippi/Ohio Valleys, increasing the risk of severe weather and flash flooding.
    • The presence of a deep upper-level trough over the West will contribute to this pattern.
    • The Storm Prediction Center has issued Enhanced and Slight Risks for severe weather, including large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes.
  2. Fire Weather Risk (Monday):
    • A Critical Risk of Fire Weather is anticipated for the Southern High Plains due to very strong winds and dry conditions behind the dryline.
  3. Continued Severe Weather Threat (Tuesday):
    • The storm system will move eastward, bringing widespread showers and thunderstorms from the Upper Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic.
    • The Storm Prediction Center has issued another Enhanced Risk of Severe Weather, particularly for large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes.
    • Flash flooding remains a concern, especially in the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys and Mid-Atlantic.
  4. Unsettled Weather in the West:
    • Lower elevation rain and higher elevation snow are expected to continue but taper off through Monday.
    • Some areas in the West, particularly southern Arizona and the central Rockies, may experience moderate to locally heavy rainfall and snowfall accumulations.
  5. Temperature Trends:
    • Warm, above-average temperatures are likely for eastern/southern regions ahead of the approaching storm system.
    • However, much cooler temperatures are expected in the Middle Mississippi Valley and Central/Southern Plains as a cold front moves through on Tuesday.
    • Initially, portions of the Northern Plains and the West will experience much below average temperatures, but warmer conditions will gradually return as the trough moves eastward.

Overall, this forecast indicates a complex weather scenario with multiple hazards, including severe storms, flash flooding, and fire weather concerns, across different regions of the United States over the next few days.

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